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Red106
172117.8
358517.6
234219.8
Blue58
526528.4
17240.3
264838.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2810905015020025010658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#36
19.83.3
18.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
172
#15
40.31.9
37.035.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1721
#18
17.83.3
13.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
38.11.9
32.931.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3585
#24
17.63.3
8.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
5265
#28
28.41.9
26.624.7
Auto
Teleop
End