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Red140
172117.8
345152.2
456452.4
Blue161
15553.9
31950.1
346136.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118130050100150200250300350400140161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
52.41.0
50.951.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
155
#1
53.91.6
50.952.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.21.0
50.451.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
319
#6
50.11.6
47.549.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1721
#18
17.81.0
18.419.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
36.61.6
30.031.6
Auto
Teleop
End