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Red221
5852.4
264838.1
512251.4
Blue57
130718.0
490632.3
492535.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338105010015020025030022157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#21
52.44.8
46.651.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
35.31.6
39.237.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#11
51.44.8
45.750.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
4906
#32
32.31.6
32.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
38.14.8
32.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
1307
#35
18.01.6
17.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End