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Red230
7082.2
170136.1
506632.9
Blue159
54856.3
283445.5
438443.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131139050100200250300230159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#10
82.24.9
72.677.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.8
548
#28
56.31.1
47.848.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1701
#12
36.14.9
31.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
45.51.1
46.447.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5066
#31
32.94.9
28.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
43.31.1
43.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End