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Red68
152810.8
47030.6
353623.1
Blue81
150217.3
24723.5
526319.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715601001502006881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#38
30.60.0
34.234.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
247
#29
23.51.1
22.223.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3536
#35
23.10.0
23.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
5263
#19
19.71.1
20.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
#30
10.80.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1502
#21
17.31.1
16.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End