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Red64
267317.8
506813.9
485119.5
Blue98
48118.4
361915.3
285136.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556401001502006498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#34
19.50.6
17.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
36.23.0
31.434.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
#16
17.80.6
26.427.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3619
#14
15.33.0
21.324.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5068
#37
13.90.6
12.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4811
#36
8.43.0
9.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End