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Red39
81826.5
33988.5
476816.5
Blue16
259110.9
19417.3
52255.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684301001502002503003916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#5
26.52.1
27.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
2591
#20
10.92.6
16.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4768
#15
16.52.1
23.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1941
#31
7.32.6
16.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#17
8.52.1
12.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
5225
#38
5.42.6
14.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End