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Red150
505320.5
277147.6
24566.9
Blue197
86261.9
247438.3
5176.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143167050100200250300350150197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#30
66.90.2
64.664.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
51
#9
76.41.7
72.273.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2771
#59
47.60.2
58.758.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
862
#25
61.91.7
63.264.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#58
20.50.2
23.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
2474
#48
38.31.7
28.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End