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Red226
436272.4
205465.6
171888.7
Blue137
353453.8
361849.4
360446.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2501400100200300400226137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.70.3
101.1100.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.9
3534
#57
53.81.0
57.856.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4362
#22
72.40.3
60.360.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
3618
#29
49.41.0
52.952.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2054
#36
65.60.3
71.371.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
3604
#37
46.31.0
46.145.1
Auto
Teleop
End