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Red170
362057.5
7454.9
191879.4
Blue121
477940.8
261951.8
364154.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208109050150250300350170121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.1
82.781.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
3641
#18
54.80.2
51.951.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3620
#34
57.51.1
49.948.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2619
#26
51.80.2
44.043.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
74
#27
54.91.1
60.259.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4779
#62
40.80.2
28.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End