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Red170
353453.8
360253.5
277147.6
Blue212
81536.2
496759.6
2790.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461980100300400170212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#57
53.80.8
57.558.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.2
27
#3
90.01.1
90.791.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3602
#46
53.50.8
44.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
4967
#17
59.61.1
59.660.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2771
#59
47.60.8
51.752.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
815
#54
36.21.1
39.740.8
Auto
Teleop
End