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Red206
191879.4
516256.5
481947.5
Blue116
505320.5
205465.6
285140.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197115050150250300350400206116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.1
85.987.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
2054
#36
65.60.6
68.567.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5162
#33
56.51.1
58.859.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
2851
#53
40.70.6
35.935.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4819
#14
47.51.1
39.440.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.0
5053
#58
20.50.6
23.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End