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Red157
400356.1
519332.1
261951.8
Blue187
28039.5
233784.1
360253.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411640100200300400157187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#28
56.10.6
57.858.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.0
84.11.3
75.977.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2619
#26
51.80.6
46.046.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3602
#46
53.51.3
47.849.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5193
#52
32.10.6
41.041.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
280
#43
39.51.3
36.738.0
Auto
Teleop
End