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Red172
354834.4
46995.9
81536.2
Blue201
50362.4
364154.8
191879.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1562060100300400500172201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#6
95.90.4
88.989.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
79.40.2
85.685.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
#54
36.20.4
38.939.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.2
503
#32
62.40.2
57.657.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3548
#60
34.40.4
35.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
3641
#18
54.80.2
54.654.8
Auto
Teleop
End