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Red65
277143.0
436816.7
516111.0
Blue141
439514.2
191864.7
438134.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62119010015020025030065141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#23
43.00.3
42.241.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
64.71.7
65.066.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4368
#40
16.70.3
17.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
4381
#28
34.01.7
32.334.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5161
#27
11.00.3
11.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
4395
#20
14.21.7
12.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End