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Red91
323443.6
520512.9
525629.7
Blue127
345247.8
365638.5
515218.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83102020030040050091127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#11
43.60.3
43.944.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
47.81.6
45.747.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5256
#17
29.70.3
29.429.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
38.51.6
36.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5205
#35
12.90.3
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
5152
#29
18.51.6
16.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End