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Red109
168437.9
356817.4
261950.2
Blue107
515610.0
7072.6
8948.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8066050100150200109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#12
50.22.6
36.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
70
#9
72.63.2
46.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#22
37.92.6
31.233.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
5156
#39
10.03.2
10.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3568
#31
17.42.6
9.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
894
#29
8.63.2
11.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End