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Red13
353433.9
499811.9
526010.5
Blue101
499418.6
504628.1
31444.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4367010015020025013101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#16
33.92.8
18.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
314
#2
44.73.2
34.737.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4998
#36
11.92.8
11.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.3
5046
#10
28.13.2
15.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5260
#25
10.52.8
16.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
4994
#32
18.63.2
13.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End