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Red108
481942.2
376725.6
388621.1
Blue115
511439.3
515027.4
50325.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72580100150108115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.23.2
33.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
5114
#18
39.34.6
14.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3767
#15
25.63.2
19.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
5150
#13
27.44.6
19.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3886
#27
21.13.2
16.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
503
#26
25.84.6
26.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End