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Red194
132235.6
233766.3
438238.7
Blue86
3226.8
31319.6
31444.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786105010015020019486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.39.9
38.948.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
314
#2
44.71.9
37.939.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38.79.9
15.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
313
#37
19.61.9
15.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
35.69.9
20.830.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
322
#35
6.81.9
10.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End