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Red108
515531.0
31319.6
150624.4
Blue176
376725.6
261950.2
516732.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601070150200250108176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#23
31.02.5
28.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
2619
#12
50.24.2
47.751.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1506
#24
24.42.2
22.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
5167
#14
32.74.2
29.633.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
313
#37
19.62.2
17.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3767
#15
25.64.2
22.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End