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Red147
46824.0
353535.4
481942.2
Blue67
168437.9
377032.9
508122.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949240608012014016018014767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.23.1
40.443.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1684
#22
37.91.6
40.939.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.43.1
29.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
32.91.7
34.232.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
468
#17
24.03.4
20.524.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
5081
#30
22.51.7
20.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End