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Red52
26047.8
438238.7
504628.1
Blue157
132235.6
7072.6
520321.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113605010020025030035052157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.6
41.139.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.0
70
#9
72.61.7
70.572.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5046
#10
28.11.6
30.629.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
35.61.7
35.236.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#40
7.81.6
9.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
5203
#33
21.21.7
20.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End