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Red183
277158.6
516734.5
30851.9
Blue121
7463.7
168444.9
366721.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146126050100200250183121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.7
57.858.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
74
#12
63.70.1
63.463.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
#5
51.90.7
51.251.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
44.90.1
44.544.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5167
#20
34.50.7
33.734.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3667
#27
21.30.1
20.920.7
Auto
Teleop
End