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Red216
31467.2
432728.7
50358.4
Blue205
8564.2
477621.7
516258.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813850100200250300216205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#3
67.21.0
67.568.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
85
#4
64.21.1
63.164.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#6
58.41.0
58.859.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
58.81.1
57.858.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4327
#34
28.71.0
29.130.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4776
#26
21.71.1
20.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End