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Red150
516734.5
277158.6
30851.9
Blue237
168444.9
366721.3
7463.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148125050100200250150237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.1
58.558.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
74
#12
63.71.8
63.265.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
#5
51.90.1
51.851.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
44.91.8
44.446.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5167
#20
34.50.1
34.434.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3667
#27
21.31.8
20.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End