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Red62
501422.2
365843.1
518216.9
Blue111
366721.3
516258.8
516734.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010205015020025030062111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#15
43.11.1
41.440.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
58.80.6
48.148.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5014
#18
22.21.1
27.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
5167
#20
34.50.6
38.038.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5182
#40
16.91.1
14.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3667
#27
21.30.6
12.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End