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Red127
531638.8
150429.0
525729.7
Blue142
477621.7
31467.2
517332.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571210100150200250300127142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5316
#10
38.83.0
28.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
314
#3
67.21.5
67.068.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5257
#19
29.73.0
27.430.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
5173
#13
32.41.5
30.432.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1504
#16
29.03.0
11.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4776
#26
21.71.5
13.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End