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Red101
501422.2
363919.5
506717.6
Blue165
525115.2
191882.0
30851.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401700100150200250300101165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5014
#18
22.22.0
21.823.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 59.8
82.00.8
82.583.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3639
#33
19.52.0
21.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.4
308
#5
51.90.8
50.250.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5067
#28
17.62.0
17.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
5251
#38
15.20.8
16.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End