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Red152
8564.2
70329.3
366721.3
Blue140
525729.7
528232.8
516258.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98129050150200250300152140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#4
64.22.4
62.164.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
58.80.8
55.656.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
703
#14
29.32.4
22.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
5282
#17
32.80.8
35.336.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3667
#27
21.32.4
18.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
5257
#19
29.70.8
33.033.8
Auto
Teleop
End