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Red121
360448.5
440533.9
436259.6
Blue223
81541.2
50341.7
31459.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501380100200300400500121223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.5
61.661.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
314
#3
59.71.4
58.960.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3604
#17
48.50.5
50.550.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
503
#6
41.71.4
40.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4405
#30
33.90.5
35.935.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
815
#25
41.21.4
40.441.8
Auto
Teleop
End