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Red285
50341.7
31459.7
81541.2
Blue103
30850.2
31324.7
12339.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133112050150200250300285103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#3
59.72.6
55.458.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
308
#8
50.20.2
50.450.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#6
41.72.6
37.440.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
123
#20
39.90.2
40.139.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#25
41.22.6
36.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
313
#31
24.70.2
25.024.7
Auto
Teleop
End