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Red130
506717.3
54859.5
28028.4
Blue140
107614.4
364157.4
31459.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85123050100150200130140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
59.52.0
57.559.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
314
#3
59.71.1
49.150.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
280
#26
28.42.0
25.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.0
57.41.1
49.851.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5067
#39
17.33.3
8.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1076
#38
14.41.1
18.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End