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Red103
440533.9
31324.7
521715.0
Blue125
354228.0
47031.9
332264.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571260100150200250300103125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#30
33.91.7
31.633.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.3
64.20.5
59.560.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
#31
24.71.7
22.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
470
#14
31.90.5
29.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5217
#40
15.02.9
14.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
3542
#22
28.00.8
26.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End