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Red149
214513.6
523138.1
124355.6
Blue103
522932.5
377036.9
70326.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9897406080120140160180149103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#26
55.60.9
52.453.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
3770
#15
36.90.1
37.237.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38.10.9
35.035.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
32.50.1
32.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#35
13.60.9
10.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
703
#20
26.40.1
26.726.8
Auto
Teleop
End