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Red128
481943.4
6847.1
516621.1
Blue92
528234.4
438237.9
261950.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412805015020025012892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#11
47.10.3
45.946.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2619
#13
50.50.5
50.950.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4819
#32
43.40.3
42.142.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4382
#31
37.90.5
38.437.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5166
#14
21.10.3
19.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
34.40.5
34.934.3
Auto
Teleop
End