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Red128
124355.6
214513.6
523138.1
Blue72
70326.4
377036.9
522932.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101965015020012872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#26
55.60.5
53.353.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
3770
#15
36.90.4
37.336.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38.10.5
35.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
32.50.4
32.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2145
#35
13.60.5
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
703
#20
26.40.4
26.826.4
Auto
Teleop
End