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Red102
3371.3
341515.8
21625.7
Blue111
516621.1
261950.5
89423.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12474050100150200250102111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
71.30.7
73.372.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
2619
#13
50.51.5
45.847.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#16
25.70.7
26.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
894
#12
23.81.5
19.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3415
#27
15.80.7
16.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
5166
#14
21.11.5
15.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End