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Red107
523417.6
522429.6
522216.5
Blue179
523815.7
523138.1
124355.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44990150200250107179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5224
#25
29.63.3
26.229.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.0
1243
#26
55.64.4
49.453.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5234
#36
17.63.3
11.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
38.14.4
30.835.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5222
#28
16.52.7
14.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
5238
#29
15.75.4
10.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End