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Red15
523417.6
523815.7
283437.1
Blue135
21625.7
522932.5
521523.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6459010015020025015135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.14.0
36.432.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
32.53.8
17.321.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5234
#36
17.64.0
15.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
216
#16
25.73.8
15.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5238
#29
15.74.0
11.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
5215
#34
23.23.8
27.030.8
Auto
Teleop
End