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Red115
357026.2
70326.4
24440.2
Blue127
501718.7
30251.0
516621.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75490100150115127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#8
40.22.2
28.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
302
#3
51.03.7
33.437.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
703
#20
26.42.2
25.627.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
5166
#14
21.13.7
7.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3570
#38
26.22.2
17.219.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
5017
#30
18.73.7
11.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End