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Red79
437726.6
8545.0
345834.7
Blue201
432542.8
440813.3
233776.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412105010015020025079201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#15
45.00.1
41.040.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.0
76.04.4
63.668.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.70.1
19.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
4325
#19
42.84.4
39.744.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4377
#20
26.60.1
21.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
4408
#30
13.34.4
10.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End