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Red128
505624.3
357249.9
247441.2
Blue53
485537.4
525513.3
438143.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068705015020025030012853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.91.3
48.749.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
43.61.8
31.029.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.21.3
38.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4855
#13
37.41.8
37.836.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5056
#17
24.32.1
16.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
5255
#29
13.31.8
20.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End