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Red166
524833.0
506926.0
432542.8
Blue160
2799.1
524616.3
387516.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89132050150200250166160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#19
42.83.5
44.047.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 56.3
27
#3
99.11.8
91.092.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5248
#23
33.03.5
29.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
3875
#35
16.71.8
18.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5069
#26
26.03.5
22.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
5246
#39
16.32.9
15.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End