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Red133
345246.6
240523.7
8545.0
Blue161
90427.8
345834.7
233776.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111750150200133161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#16
46.61.5
43.745.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
76.02.3
68.070.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
#15
45.01.5
40.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
34.72.3
18.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2405
#25
23.71.5
19.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
904
#22
27.82.3
27.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End