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Red112
517325.1
440912.2
515226.9
Blue17
194016.5
46828.7
12547.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6352010015020025011217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#18
26.92.6
20.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
468
#11
28.71.8
28.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5173
#10
25.14.3
22.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1940
#34
16.53.1
17.014.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#37
12.24.3
17.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1254
#38
7.83.1
8.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End