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Red55
194016.5
518213.4
432542.8
Blue78
433723.6
150214.4
240523.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805101001502005578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#19
42.81.0
43.642.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
2405
#25
23.71.1
22.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1940
#34
16.51.2
17.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
4337
#33
23.61.1
22.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5182
#28
13.41.2
14.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1502
#36
14.41.1
10.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End