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Red63
8545.0
522723.4
440813.3
Blue99
345246.6
524833.0
525513.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81940501502006399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#15
45.01.0
44.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3452
#16
46.60.4
46.346.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5227
#31
23.41.0
24.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
5248
#23
33.00.4
32.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4408
#30
13.31.0
14.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
5255
#29
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End