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Red21
194016.5
524616.3
433723.6
Blue205
520427.2
8545.0
485537.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7667010020030040050021205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4337
#33
23.62.7
32.529.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
85
#15
45.06.8
27.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1940
#34
16.54.5
24.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
4855
#13
37.46.8
30.937.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5246
#39
16.34.5
17.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
5204
#32
27.26.8
10.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End