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Red57
354729.8
361726.7
440912.2
Blue66
515226.9
362055.7
387516.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509301502005766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#21
29.80.0
26.726.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.9
55.71.0
44.743.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3617
#12
26.70.0
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
5152
#18
26.91.0
18.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#37
12.20.0
16.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3875
#35
16.71.0
22.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End